Official transaction authority
House and Senate PTRs plus SEC ownership filings anchor transaction claims. Market prices are secondary calculation inputs.
Public-interest market intelligence
POWER
LEDGER
Who made the strongest disclosed market calls—and what do the receipts actually prove?
Rankings change by period. Every scored signal opens to the trade date, market move, benchmark, filing, and evidence limit.83 ranked people2591 House transactions592 2026 Senate transactions7 Senate paper reviews648 exact-value SEC lotsMarket data through 2026-07-20
Live research table
The leaderboard.
This ranks a latest-disclosed-signal model, not a secretly reconstructed brokerage account. Purchases are long signals. Sales are avoidance signals—not claimed short positions. Dollar results remain disclosure ranges.
Rank / personSignalsEst. result rangeReturnVs. SPY
One-year window
Satya Nadella signal basket
PersonSPY comparison
DateSelect a chart point
Signal index—
SPY index—
Events—
Indexed to 100 at the actual coverage start. A sale is modeled as an avoidance call, not a short position. Use the transaction ledger below to inspect what entered the graph.
Transaction evidence
Signals behind the chart.
Dates, directions, ranges, market prices, benchmark comparison, filing ownership, and the official receipt. Click a transaction to move the graph inspector to that date.
Coverage —0 scored signalsEvidence confidence —
People and source status
Ranked, auditing, or unavailable.
Trump, Vance, private citizens, and historical officials stay visible without receiving invented scores. Missing public data is shown as missing public data.
Method and limits
Scrutiny without fake precision.
Ranges stay ranges
A congressional `$1,001–$15,000` report remains a low/high modeled result. It never becomes an imaginary midpoint account value.
Different systems stay different
Congressional households, executive disclosures, SEC insiders, and private citizens are labeled by cohort and evidence regime.
No misconduct verdict by arithmetic
Exceptional returns can justify scrutiny. They do not establish material nonpublic information, intent, or an illegal trade.
Market-data calculation rules
Price field: Yahoo adjusted close. Dividends and splits: reflected when supplied in adjusted-close history. Non-trading days: starts move to the first available session on or after the target; ends move to the last available session on or before the cutoff. Missing prices: the signal is withheld. Benchmark: SPY is a tradable S&P 500 proxy, not the index itself. Positions: a latest disclosed direction is not proof a position stayed open.
Current coverage
274 parsed House filings and 2591 House transactions; 85 parsed Senate eFD filings and 592 Senate transactions, with 7 paper filings held for review; and 648 exact-value P/S lots from 91 SEC Form 4 filings. Senate coverage currently runs 2026-01-01 through 2026-07-20; a separate named historical reconciliation adds 3 rows from 2 Vance filings. Updated 2026-07-20T23:01:22+00:00. This remains an expanding public beta.
Download the generated dataset ↗